The future of the Hong Kong trust industry looks both promising and challenging as the competition continues to intensify regionally and globally. The main objective of this report is to outline the latest industry trends in Hong Kong and provide insights on how the HKSAR can enhance its competitive edge. This includes suggestions to expand the size of the industry and the range of services that will reinforce Hong Kong’s position as a premier trust jurisdiction in the long term.

In this report, we have identified a number of key challenges and areas that the HKSAR should look at addressing:

1) The compliance conundrum

Trust companies are spending an increasing amount of time and effort on compliance and regulatory matters, which has led to a surge in operating costs. The higher cost either undermines profitability or is passed on to clients, neither of which is positive for the industry. Some companies are turning to technology-based solutions, while others are calling for the government to develop simplified policies for global compliance.

2) Improving the talent pool

A common theme expressed by interviewees is the shortage of talent across many aspects of the industry such as trust administration, legal and compliance, and client management. A lack of formal training and qualifications for trust professionals was widely cited as an issue.

However, the HKTA is working with the Hong Kong Securities and Investment Institute (HKSI) on providing a solution.

3) Streamlining of the regulatory framework

The diverse nature of the Hong Kong trust industry means the regulatory regime is highly fragmented. While the areas under governance are defined, there are overlaps in the reporting, licencing and approval processes. The regulation of trust companies was the industry’s top pick as the most effective method to drive further development, while some respondents have called for a single regulator model, which could streamline disclosures and boost efficiencies.

4) Clarity on tax

The application of current tax legislation to trusts and, in particular, trusts carrying on a trade or business in Hong Kong, is considered somewhat opaque by many practitioners. Greater clarity and certainty is therefore regarded as desirable and can enhance Hong Kong’s competitiveness as a trust jurisdiction. Hong Kong should look at establishing a comprehensive tax code for the taxation of trusts, similar to other comparable jurisdictions like Singapore and the United Kingdom.

There are also more sector-specific improvements that can be made such as further enhancements to the MPF system (including developing the eMPF, availability of more retirement income stream products and increasing contribution rates over time), introducing purpose trust legislation and establishing a charities commission.

In order to build on Hong Kong’s strong foundations and leverage its advantages as a location for financial services, the government, regulators and the industry will need to increase their collaboration.

Greater coordination among stakeholders is required to position Hong Kong as the destination of choice for trust services amidst stiff competition from Singapore as well as traditional jurisdictions such as BVI, Cayman Islands and Channel Islands.

To view the full article, please click here to download the PDF version.

Content provided by Picture: Hong Kong Trustees' Association

Editor's picks

Djibouti Harbour Regeneration Master Plan, Republic of Djibouti, by Aedas

A straw poll of work colleagues will quickly confirm that few know the geographical location of Djibouti despite it being a strategically key port on the busiest shipping route in the world. The Belt and Road Initiative will have a transformational effect on a place known as the Crossroads Nation.

The highly distinctive and recognisable Aedas strategic master plan for Djibouti will reinvigorate the city and encourage the growth in trade of capital, goods and services through the whole of East Africa.

The strategic military bases within the city make it very secure. Its political stability is an additional asset. Its people incredibly polite and always smiling and the potential for growth is huge. Already its telecommunications system ranks among the best in Africa.

The strategic master plan is a progressive and sustainable model for regeneration that not only looks to the future but also draws from the rich heritage and culture of the city and the country. The astonishing cultural diversity of Djibouti, apparent in its historic French Colonial Quarter and Arabic houses, informs the urban grain and scale of the masterplan and ties the new into the historic fabric.

There is a danger with a master plan proposal of this scale is that the historic context and diversity is lost amongst the delivery of a skyline of high-rise towers and reflective glass. It is better to create a master plan that has been informed by the special nature of the place and so works with it.

The development is on the key peninsula site of Djibouti and will deliver not only a new and vibrant waterfront, but create a series of distinct places within a sustainable environment, offering leisure and tourist facilities, commercial office space, cultural and residential quarters and a focus for new foreign investment to the city and so the wider country. The master plan focus is not about buildings alone but is equally about space and places for the population to gather and connect. It has a new cultural heart which creates a public venue and focus for a new chapter in Djibouti’s history.

The recently completed railway connections and the planned airport upgrades will sit alongside the new port and cruise terminals ensuring that a full range of transport infrastructure facilities will be in place to deliver the sustained economic regeneration of the wider Aedas master plan. The huge benefits of the industrial parks and modern farms will ensure goods and services are able to be presented, traded and moved out from Djibouti, by various routes.

Catering for local and international investors and manufacturers, the master plan recognises culture and national identity as key to the success of the new opportunity, with revitalisation an ongoing process, which involves public participation as well as private investment. In addition the key principles of public space and landscape themes are in evidence throughout the masterplanning guidelines and will create the distinctive places Aedas has set out to deliver.

More articles from Aedas

Recently, Vincent Lo, Chairman of the Hong Kong Trade Development Council, shared his views on the opportunities arising from the Belt and Road Initiative at two events at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology.

Click below to find out more:

The Belt and Road Initiative: What can Hong Kong do? – 24 October 2017

The Belt and Road – a Visionary Plan that will change the World – 30 October 2017

The Belt and Road – a Visionary Plan that will change the World (Presentation) – 30 October 2017

Editor's picks


The Belt and Road Initiative will open a new window for performing arts at Hong Kong’s West Kowloon Cultural District, says Executive Director Louis Yu. M+ museum Executive Director Suhanya Raffel sees the new centre for visual culture as reflecting Hong Kong’s “voice” for the future while CEO Duncan Pescod says the Cultural District will provide new, creative and original artistic offerings encompassing Belt and Road countries.

Speakers:
Duncan Pescod, Chief Executive Officer, West Kowloon Cultural District Authority
Louis Yu, Executive Director, Performing Arts, WKCDA
Suhanya Raffel, Executive Director, M+, WKCDA

Related Links:
Hong Kong Trade Development Council
http://www.hktdc.com

HKTDC Belt and Road Portal
http://beltandroad.hktdc.com/en/

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The second edition of Hong Kong’s Belt and Road Summit spotlighted how the trade and economic development plan has begun to materialise into concrete projects.

Three years since Chinese President Xi Jinping unveiled the Belt and Road Initiative, the game-changing economic and development blueprint has begun taking shape. That was the consensus among participants attending the second Hong Kong Belt and Road Summit, held on 11 September at the Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre.

“Our theme this year is ‘From Vision to Action,’ as we help to bring together tangible projects, serious investors and knowledgeable professionals to package complex developments into commercially viable and bankable projects,” said HKTDC Chairman Vincent HS Lo at the opening session.

Jointly organised by the Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR) and the Hong Kong Trade Development Council (HKTDC), the Summit attracted 3,000 political leaders, policymakers, business leaders and experts in related trades from some 50 countries and regions. Some 40 senior government ministers and business leaders also spoke at the event. 

Carrie Lam

In her keynote speech, Hong Kong Chief Executive Carrie Lam said that Belt and Road-related infrastructure projects now underway will spark greater demand for services, including in investment and risk assessment, research, financing, insurance, accounting, legal services and arbitration. “Today, these service sectors represent new economic drivers for Hong Kong and are essential to the Belt and Road vision," Mrs Lam said.

Building Foundation

Some 1,700 Belt and Road-related projects are now underway around the world, many of them involving China’s state-owned enterprises (SOEs) undertaking infrastructure projects. One of them, the China Railway Group, plans to team up with Hong Kong’s MTR Corporation Ltd on rail projects along Belt and Road routes. Together, they have already bid for a project to build a 350 kilometre high-speed rail link between Malaysia’s Kuala Lumpur and Singapore.

Belt and Road Summit

The second edition of the Belt and Road Summit offered a platform for both high-level idea exchanges and concrete business cooperation

“Southeast Asia is far behind in infrastructure development,” said Jaime Ayala, Chairman and CEO of Philippine conglomerate Ayala Corporation, one of the speakers at a panel examining the region’s infrastructure development needs and related opportunities.

“In order for growth to continue, we need to develop infrastructure. There’s a unique opportunity to create the infrastructure necessary to expand globalisation.” 

Mr Ayala noted that Hong Kong can play a catalyst role by helping to link Southeast Asia’s private sector with China’s state-owned enterprise projects. The sentiment was echoed by Chairul Tanjung, Chairman of Indonesia’s CT Corp, who said that as a key Belt and Road partner, Hong Kong can serve as a communication bridge between China and Southeast Asia.

Fostering Concrete Cooperation

The Summit was also a business-matching platform for more than 200 project owners, investors and services providers. Loxley, a Thai-listed company that received an HKTDC mission in May, signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Hong Kong’s Insight Robotics Ltd at the Summit. The agreement paves the way for the introduction of Hong Kong’s advanced technologies to Thailand under the country’s “Thailand 4.0” development plan, which aims to accelerate Thailand’s economic development through technology. The HKTDC also organised project presentations and business-matching opportunities for Loxley representatives. 

Belt and Road Summit

One-on-one business-matching meetings and an exhibition area showcased various professional services on offer at the Belt and Road Summit in Hong Kong

Belt and Road Summit

Thai-listed conglomerate Loxley signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Hong Kong’s Insight Robotics Ltd at the Belt and Road Summit

As Belt and Road projects gather steam, the Hong Kong Government is also working with the Central Government on a new agreement to boost Hong Kong’s role “that would give full play to Hong Kong's unique advantages under ‘one country, two systems’ in support of the Belt and Road Initiative,” said Hong Kong Chief Executive Mrs Lam. 

There will be greater emphasis on enlisting more SMEs to take advantage of opportunities, including with the setting up of a Hong Kong-based Belt and Road General Chamber of Commerce, to help prepare businesses with local knowledge about countries along the Belt and Road, with a focus on ASEAN countries. 

Companies that have already taken up the challenge say there’s no time to waste. “The last generation opened the mainland market over 30 years ago,” said hpa’s Mr Ho. “It wasn’t handed to them on a silver platter. With the awareness we have right now of opportunities, projects, success stories that we can hear and see, people should just change their mentality, especially the youth. Have the courage to go out there and get out of your comfort zone.”

SME in Focus

Just as the Belt and Road is not only a China initiative, the global development blueprint also offers countless opportunities for SMEs to grab a slice of the market, making Hong Kong the ideal conduit, said Hong Kong Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development Edward Yau. “Had the Belt and Road been confined to the Global 100s or Fortune 500s, Hong Kong would not have been the market place,” Mr Yau said.

At a panel featuring young entrepreneurs who have ventured outside their local markets, speakers outlined how they have started tapping opportunities from the Belt and Road Initiative. Hong Kong-based architectural and design firm hpa, for instance, is building smart cities across Southeast Asia, including in the Philippines. “At its core, the Belt and Road is about connecting people,” said hpa Deputy Managing Director Ho Nicholas Ho. “The future for companies like us is to identify key markets of what the Initiative can bring together.”

Still he noted: “Risk-mitigation is a huge issue for SMEs, which don’t have Chinese SOE backing.” He said that government agreements for taxation and financing would help boost SME support.

Return on investment for smaller companies won’t be immediate, said Glendy Choi, Executive Director and CEO of infrastructure company D&G Technology Holding Co, Ltd, which is present in 17 Belt and Road countries. Ms Choi said SMEs have to be prepared to sacrifice short-term profit, noting however that the long-term investment allows Hong Kong companies such as hers to diversify to other markets beyond the Chinese mainland.

Apart from physical infrastructure, developing the digital economy along Belt and Road economies is another key focus. Technology-related businesses are upbeat about prospects brought about by the Initiative, which brings together more than 63 per cent of the world’s population. 

Pawoot Pongvitayapanu, CEO of Thai-based online platform TARAD.com, said the Initiative pushes SMEs to think beyond the local market. “With just one click, you can connect a million people. The Initiative helps SMEs think outside the domestic market, to the bigger world.” 

Ivan Teh, CEO and Managing Director of Fusionex, a Malaysian-based data technology company specialising in big data analytics, artificial intelligence, deep learning and the Internet of Things (IoT), agreed, saying these were “exciting times.”

Mr Teh noted that some emerging economies already require that digital processes be put in place to ease transactions. “You will see a gradual shift in in terms of moving away from some of the bureaucracies that hinder a lot of the processes in trade, financing, loan and trade facilitation. There will be a lot of work put in place from government-to-government, government-to-business, and from businesses that are driving these platforms with SMEs. A lot of the permits, trade facilitation and trade agreements will gradually move towards digitisation,” he said.

Editor's picks

China's stake in Laos' sustainable-energy sector paves way for closer long-term Belt and Road collaboration.

Photo: Hydropower: Alleviating poverty across Laos while driving international co-operation.
Hydropower: Alleviating poverty across Laos while driving international co-operation.
Photo: Hydropower: Alleviating poverty across Laos while driving international co-operation.
Hydropower: Alleviating poverty across Laos while driving international co-operation.

China and Laos jointly initiated work on the second phase of the 1,156 MW Nam Ou Cascade Hydropower Project earlier this year. The project, set on Laos' principal river, is seen as one of the country's key contributions to China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

With Laos' GDP for 2016 recorded at just US$15.9 billion, China has shouldered the bulk of the cost of the $2.8 billion initiative in exchange for the concession to operate the hydropower installation for the next 29 years. Once completed, it will comprise seven dams and hydropower stations and have a projected capacity of 1,156 MW, together with an annual energy output of 5,017 GWh.

The lead on the Chinese side has been taken by Sinohydro, a Beijing-headquartered state-owned hydropower engineering and construction company, which entered into an agreement to develop the project on a joint-venture basis with Electricite Du Laos (EDL), the Laos state electricity corporation, which holds a 15% stake in the site. Under the terms of the project, all electricity generated will be sold to EDL. Significantly, Nam Ou is the first project for which a Chinese enterprise has secured the whole basin rights for planning and development.

With work on Phase One completed more than two years ago – comprising construction of the Nam Ou 2, Nam Ou 5 and Nam Ou 6 plants – the site generated its first electricity on 29 November 2015. In total, the capacity of Phase One is estimated at about 540 MW, almost half the total envisaged for the completed project. The groundbreaking ceremony for the second phase was held some five months later and marked the beginning of the work on the remaining plants – Nam Ou 1, Nam Ou 3, Nam Ou 4 and Nam Ou 7. This second phase is scheduled for completion in 2020.

Emphasising the importance of the initiative, Dr Khammany Inthilath, the Lao Minister of Energy and Mines, said: "Once completed, the Nam Ou Cascade Hydropower Project will have a major role to play in the reduction of poverty across Laos. In particular, it will boost the socio-economic development of Luang Prabang and Phongsaly provinces, immeasurably improving the living standards of local residents.

"It will also play an important role in regulating the seasonal drought problems in the Nam Ou river basin. Ultimately, we hope it will ensure downstream irrigation for the region's plantations on a long-term basis, while also reducing soil erosion."

Despite Inthilath's optimism, the project has attracted criticism on a number of fronts. Firstly, there have been concerns over the possible adverse environmental impact of such large-scale hydropower projects, particularly given the scale and number of hydropower developments currently under way along the Mekong River and its tributaries. In addition to the Nam Ou project, China is also involved with several other hydropower installations, including Don Sahong, Pak Beng and Xayaburi.

A second wave of criticism has come from outside Laos, with a number of neighbouring countries expressing concerns that the cumulative effect of the hydropower projects already under way may adversely impact on the flow of the river. To this end, the governments of Thailand, Vietnam and Cambodia have all gone on record as objecting to the expansion of Laos' hydropower programme.

It is the sheer scale of Chinese investment in Laos, together with the country's resultant indebtedness, that has triggered a third wave of criticism. By the end of 2016, with $5.4 billion worth of funding already in place, China was by far the largest overseas investor in Laos.

According the Lao government's own figures, by the end of 2016 Chinese companies had signed up for $6.7 billion worth of construction projects in the country – some 30.1% of the total earmarked for Laos' infrastructure upgrade. The overall scale of the deals already in place makes Laos the third-largest market for China in the ASEAN bloc.

Overall, though, taking an active role in China's Belt and Road Initiative has been seen as a good fit with Laos' long-held ambition to shift from being a land-locked nation to becoming more of a land-linked economy. Furthermore, Laos' ongoing co-operation with China on a series of energy projects has underlined the positive relationship between the two countries.

Highlighting this, while speaking at the launch ceremony for Phase Two of the Nam Ou Cascade Hydropower Project, Li Baoguang, the Chinese Consul-General in Luang Prabang, Laos' ancient capital, said: "This year marks the 55th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic ties between China and Laos and there could be no better way of commemorating that than with the commencement of work on this joint venture."

Geoff de Freitas, Special Correspondent, Vientiane

Editor's picks

Major hydropower and roadway investments chime well with the overall objectives of the Belt and Road Initiative.

Photo: Dam good: Will the benefits of the Bakun hydroelectric facility jump-start the local digital economy?
Dam good: Will the benefits of the Bakun hydroelectric facility jump-start the local digital economy?
Photo: Dam good: Will the benefits of the Bakun hydroelectric facility jump-start the local digital economy?
Dam good: Will the benefits of the Bakun hydroelectric facility jump-start the local digital economy?

Speculation as to Malaysia's future economic priorities have frequently focused on the country's oil and gas reserves, palm oil production, high-tech manufacturing, real estate and, of course, tourism. While its potential strengths in the hydropower sector have remained largely overlooked, two high-profile dam projects may be about to change all that, with Sarawak's long-mooted Corridor of Renewable Energy now set to become a reality.

Last month, Sarawak Energy Berhad, the power generation company owned and operated by the state government of Sarawak, completed its purchase of the 2,400 mW Bakun Dam from Malaysia's Ministry of Finance. The company paid RM2.5 billion in cash, with a further RM6 billion in loan facilities, to take possession of one of Southeast Asia's most significant – and controversial – power projects. Work on the dam was originally completed in 2010, but the site didn't come fully online until July 2014.

In a further development, in October 2018, work is expected to begin on the construction of the 1,285 mW Baleh Hydroelectric Facility. The project is being jointly undertaken by the China Gezhouba Group, the Wuhan-based construction and engineering giant, and Untang Jaya, a Sarawak-based construction company.

Once completed, Baleh will be the fourth hydroelectric installation to have been co-opted into Sarawak's Corridor of Renewable Energy, an initiative launched in 2008 on Borneo, an island jointly administered by Malaysia, Indonesia and Brunei. This will see it line up alongside the Bakun Dam, the 944 mW Murum Dam and the 100 mW Batang Ai Dam.

Following the completion of the Bakun deal, the Sarawak government, together with its Sarawak Energy subsidiary, now owns all of the state's electricity generation facilities, granting it considerable leverage over the future direction of other local infrastructure projects. This will include the proposed redevelopment of the Bakun Lake region into a prime tourism destination, complete with a range of new hotels and resorts.

Another project with clear links to the Sarawak Corridor of Renewable Energy is a proposed coastal highway. At present, it is anticipated that up to 80% of its construction costs could be covered by Chinese investment in line with the overall objectives of the Belt and Road Initiative. Considered something of a huge undertaking, the project would entail the construction of several bridges, as well as substantial upgrades to roadways in the more rural and forested areas.

Should it get the go-ahead, the coastal highway would only be the latest of the country's array of ambitious transport infrastructure projects. Indeed, work is already under way on the RM16.5 billion, 1,073km Pan-Borneo Highway, a Malaysian government-backed initiative intended to link the country's two Borneo-based states, Sarawak and Sabah. It could also, ultimately, connect to Brunei via the 30km Temburong Bridge. Currently under construction by the China State Construction Engineering Corp, the bridge is scheduled for completion in late 2019.

The first 786km-long phase of the Pan-Borneo Highway is due to be finished a little later – in 2022. Once completed, though, it is hoped that the road will stimulate further investment in infrastructure, public transport, telecoms networks and public-health facilities across the vast tranches of Malaysia's rugged, underdeveloped terrain that the highway extends across.

For its part, the Sarawak government has claimed its bid to take overall control of the state's renewable-energy resources is in line with its long-term ambition to transform the region into a digital-communications hub. To this end, it has already pledged to invest RM2 billion over the next five years in installing fibre-optic cables and satellite connectivity across the state in order to jump-start the local digital economy. The move is part of a wider agenda intended to rebalance the economy and see it shift away from its traditional reliance on the oil and gas, mining, agriculture and forestry sectors.

Outlining the policy, Datuk Amar Abang Johari Tun Openg, Sarawak's Chief Minister, said: "Bakun and the other hydroelectric projects will play a strategic role in powering the digital economy. We believe that the integrated management of the local hydropower facilities will help attract many of the global digital giants to Sarawak."

Geoff de Freitas, Special Correspondent, Kuala Lumpur

Editor's picks

The Belt and Road (the Belt and Road Initiative, or B&R) research project was jointly initiated by ACCA and Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE).

In 2013 Chinese President Xi Jinping started an ambitious initiative to develop the ancient silk routes over land and sea, the Belt and Road initiative (BRI).

Belt and Road initiative: five priorities of cooperation

1. Policy coordination

  • Promote intergovernmental cooperation
  • Build a multilevel intergovernmental mechanism for macro policy exchange and communication

2. Connecting infrastructure

  • Plan and build connected infrastructure
  • Align technical standards
  • Create an infrastructure network that connects all sub-regions in Asia, and connects the continents of Asia, Europe and Africa

3. Unimpeded trade

  • Remove barriers for investment and trade
  • Discuss free trade areas with countries and regions along the Belt and Road

4. Financial integration

  • Deepen financial cooperation
  • Promote systems for monetary stability system, investment and financing, and credit construction across Asia

5. People-to-people bonds

  • Inherit and promote the spirit of friendship and cooperation along the Silk Road
  • Carry out extensive cultural, academic and talent exchanges

Broad implications of the Belt and Road initiative

  • With over 60 countries identified along the route and USD 800 billion invested by the China Development bank the implications of the project are far reaching and significant.
  • Already engineering projects are booming, 6,877 new contracts for projects in 61 countries / Consumer demand in China has risen and the country’s outbound investment is up 18.3% year on year.
  • Not all smooth sailing
  • Other countries have similar initiatives for example; the US New Silk Road strategy, Russian Eurasian Economic Union strategy and Japan’s Silk Road Diplomacy strategy. In addition the diverse countries along the B&R routes bring with them a diverse collection of problems, and this includes national trade protection.

ACCA’s Belt & Road research project was conceived in August 2016. It explores the opportunities and challenges for B&R countries (including China) in politics, economics, society and culture through desk research, roundtable conferences and workshops.

This approach considers local experiences and international vision, historical achievements and future development.

The report is divided into three areas:

  • Desk research - an exhaustive review of B&R-related policies
  • Case studies - based on interviews with seven enterprises that are deeply engaged with B&R: China Communications Construction, Power China, Bank of China, Sany, Shanghai Electric, Conch Cement and Changjiang Electronics Technology
  • The third are explores the integration and innovation of B&R. These findings are based on roundtable and workshop discussion with those who are working close to the B&R Initiative.

The full report can be viewed here

Editor's picks

習近平主席在「一帶一路」國際合作論壇開幕式的演講中從歷史和現實兩個維度出發,概括了「和平合作、開放包容、互學互鑒、互利共贏」的「一帶一路」理念,明確提出把「一帶一路」建成和平之路、繁榮之路、開放之路、創新之路和文明之路。

「一帶一路」作為中國在全球經濟新格侷下制定的頂層倡議,突破了傳統以貿易和投資便利化為主題的區域合作理念和方式,通過為沿綫各國提供共同受益的國際公共產品,為持續低迷的全球經濟增長提供新動力,亦為解決當前全球經濟貿易困境和維護多邊貿易體制主管道地位提供新的思路和中國方案。在「一帶一路」政策溝通、設施聯通、貿易暢通、資金融通、民心相通的五大主線中,資金融通具有系統重要性,建立高效、順暢的資金融通網絡和佈局是把「一帶一路」建成繁榮之路的重要一環。

 

一、資金融通具有系統重要性

在「一帶一路」政策溝通、設施聯通、貿易暢通、資金融通、民心相通的五大主線中,資金融通具有系統重要性,建立高效、順暢的資金融通網路和佈局是把「一帶一路」建成繁榮之路的重要環節。

習主席在講話中指出金融是現代經濟的血液,凸顯金融服務在「一帶一路」中的重要角色。解決融資瓶頸對互聯互通的挑戰,建立穩定、可持續、風險可控的金融保障體系,建設多元化融資體系和多層次資本市場,發展普惠金融,完善金融服務網路。

資金融通與四通(政策溝通、設施聯通、貿易暢通、資金融通、民心相通)有千絲萬縷的聯係。

首先,資金融通是實現設施聯通的基礎。「一帶一路」戰略初始階段把設施聯通作爲優先領域,以運輸通道的互聯互通為紐帶,以經濟走廊為依託,率先建立亞洲基礎設施互聯互通的基本框架。以交通、電力、通信等基礎設施和有利於沿線國家民生改善的專案為重點,開展了一些關鍵的標誌性工程。根據沿線各國的自然資源稟賦和勞動力成本比較優勢,推進國際運輸大通道建設,加快發展高鐵、軌道交通彌補內陸國家經濟地理不足,共同編組陸運、海運、空運和資訊等立體交通大網路,帶動沿線基建投資強勁增長,產生了大量的資金缺口,需要資金融通滿足投資需求。

其次,貿易暢通對資金融通提出更高的要求。交通基礎設施建設的早期收穫推動了資源和能源的開發利用,進一步提升沿綫區域全方位的貿易服務往來,不斷加強區域內的投資和貿易合作。估計未來十年中國與絲路沿線國家的貿易年均增長將超過10%,雙邊貿易額將增加到近3萬億美元,占中國外貿總額比重也將提升到三分之一強。解決投資貿易便利化、消除投資和貿易壁壘,積極同沿線國家和地區共同商建自由貿易區,都離不開資金融通的支持。

第三,資金融通的發展與政策溝通息息相關。「一帶一路」沿線國家存在法規政策不相容、地緣政治風險居高不下、文化宗教衝突、恐怖主義等風險因素,加強政策溝通把「一帶一路」建成和平之路的重要保障。加強政府間合作,積極構建多層次政府間宏觀政策溝通交流機制,深化利益融合,促進政治互信,達成合作新共識。商業機構在參與「一帶一路」建設中,需要加強溝通磋商,充分發揮多邊、雙邊、區域、次區域的合作機制和平臺作用,尋找更多的利益契合點。

民心相通是「一帶一路」建設的動力源泉。只有加強人文交流和民間交往,才能通過經濟合作促進沿線共同發展,打造牢固的民意基礎和社會基礎。目前,民心相通在沿線國家表現出較大的差異性,在一些國家的推進需要付出更大的努力。事實上,「一帶一路」所秉持的打造利益共同體和命運共同體的理念,體現了「和、敬、親、融」、天下大同等中華文明的核心價值,與亞洲國家「多元一體、和諧共贏」的新地區主義理念相一致,是民心相通的根本所在。

 

二、進一步增強「一帶一路」多元化融資體系的服務能力

為滿足「一帶一路」的融資需求,中國主導成立了亞洲基礎設施開發銀行(亞投行)、絲路基金、金磚國家開發銀行和上合組織開發銀行等主要的資金平臺,以多邊開發機構形式為絲路建設注入大量流動性。此外,多種類型的區域性金融機構陸續加入「一帶一路」資金平臺,進一步提升「一帶一路」資金平臺的代表性。

目前,亞洲基礎設施投資銀行已經為「一帶一路」建設參與國的9個專案提供17億美元貸款,「絲路基金」投資達40億美元,中國同中東歐「16+1」金融控股公司正式成立。

新的多邊機構專注於「一帶一路」沿線的基建融資,與亞洲開發銀行、歐洲復興開發銀行、世界銀行及國際貨幣基金組織等傳統多邊金融機構實現功能互補,正在成為一個新的重要的國際融資及金融服務平臺,為沿線的長遠發展提供資金支援,推動改善區域基礎設施,推進互聯互通。

本次會議決定加大對「一帶一路」建設資金支持,向絲路基金新增資金1000億元人民幣,向中國國家開發銀行、進出口銀行新增3800億元人民幣專項貸款,用於支援「一帶一路」基礎設施建設、產能、金融合作。

「一帶一路」多邊金融機構將同世界銀行及其他多邊開發機構合作支援「一帶一路」專案,同有關各方共同制定「一帶一路」融資指導原則。

亞投行、絲路基金以及各國主權基金等新型多邊開發平臺在不斷加強自身資金實力的同時,也在充分發揮市場引領作用,引導商業性股權投資基金和社會資金共同參與「一帶一路」重點項目建設。

 

三、 運用市場手段,完善「一帶一路」金融大動脈

把「一帶一路」建成創新之路具有多方面的內涵,其中,推進「一帶一路」資金融通模式的創新,完善「一帶一路」金融大動脈,將為中國金融業在絲路沿線建設發揮更大的作用提供廣闊的空間。

中國金融機構為滿足「走出去」企業的金融需求,加快在沿線國家開設分支機搆,提高投資、融資項目的成功率,及時把握其海外並購、資本運作、對外直接投資等業務機遇,提供一站式綜合金融服務解決方案,積累了大量成功的經驗。未來,可以在以下五個方面加以深化。

 

(1)鼓勵金融機構開展人民幣海外基金業務,規模預計約3000億元人民幣。

該措施將進一步完善現有涉及「一帶一路」的金融產品體系,提供新的幣種選擇,以銀團貸款、專案貸款為主體,向沿線國家基建項目提供融資。以基建投資為切入點,實現重點突破,以點帶面,擴展全面發展的空間範疇。

未來相關金融機構將提供更加豐富多樣的「一帶一路」金融服務手段。「一帶一路」沿線國家資源豐富,石油、天燃氣儲藏量大,開發價值較高,石油化工、冶金及深加工、採礦、機械製造和電子等產業有廣闊的發展空間。中國已與多個國家簽訂產能合作協定,一大批重點專案紛紛落地,中方設立的各類邊產能合作基金已超過數千億美元,並將派生出眾多金融業務的需求,為融資模式的創新提供有益的補充。

 

(2)引入多種類型的金融機構,打造全新融資模式

充分利用PPP模式及銀團貸款和發行基建債券等方式,創新投資和融資模式,推廣政府和社會資本合作。向絲路沿線國家的各類基建項目提供融資。除了亞投行和絲路基金等多邊機構提供資金以外,「一帶一路」建設仍然存在巨大的資金缺口,為保證資金持續性就必須拓寬金融合作,構建強有力的投融資管道支撐。

 

(3)打造服務「一帶一路」沿線產業園區及經濟走廊的綜合金融服務平臺。

作為推進「一帶一路」的平臺,中國相繼在東盟、中亞、南亞、中東歐和邊境地區共設立了多個產業園區。對於政治環境友好、基礎設施具備一定條件、產業聚集達到一定程度的園區及入園企業,中國銀行業可以以提供授信支援為核心,制定完善的綜合金融服務方案,為其提供不同的金融產品和多樣化的資產配置工具,包括兌換平盤、同業拆借、銀行間債券投資以及日常資金清算中的跨時區服務等多個方面。

 

(4)建立多層次資本市場,發展普惠金融

進一步深化「一帶一路」金融市場體系,吸納沿線成熟的投資專案在國內外金融市場上市,發行基建債券和基金等產品,打造國際化的融資平臺。拓展亞投行、絲路基金與市場化的金融機構合作的可行性,繼續提升綜合營運和融資能力。

近期可以加快推動區域債務工具市場發展,推動亞洲區域債券市場的開放和發展,以完善「一帶一路」資金融通網路體系。通過支援沿線國家政府和信用等級較高的企業以及金融機構在中國境內發行人民幣債券,以及符合條件的中國境內金融機構和企業可以在境外發行人民幣債券和外幣債券,鼓勵在沿線國家使用所籌資金;強化金融市場體系建設,構建具有高效的資源配置能力和良好的風險分散機制的投融資管道,從根本上解決「一帶一路」建設中存在的資金短缺和融資不足問題。

預計未來一個時期,中國將對「一帶一路」建設提供近萬億人民幣的資金支援,並通過同有關各方共同制定「一帶一路」融資指導原則,進一步提升各類機構滿足「一帶一路」融資需求的能力。

 

四、聚焦關鍵貨幣,保持人民幣在全球貨幣體系的穩定地位

「一帶一路」倡議在聚焦關鍵通道、關鍵城市和關鍵專案的同時,在金融層面,也應聚焦關鍵貨幣。加快推動「一帶一路」與人民幣國際化戰略有機融合,進一步提升人民幣的國際化程度,使之成為區域關鍵貨幣,以有效彌補「一帶一路」沿線普遍存在的流動性不足,為絲路沿線各國提供流動性支援。

由於「一帶一路」沿線國家資金需求龐大,在「一帶一路」建設中增加人民幣的使用,提供更多人民幣計價和投資工具,可以推動沿線金融市場的發展。2017年一季度中國對外投資額為205.4億美元,同比下降48.8%。其中,中國企業在「一帶一路」沿線43個國家新增非金融類直接投資合計29.5億美元,占同期對外投資總額的14.4%,同比上升5.4個百分點;在「一帶一路」沿線的61個國家新簽對外承包工程項目合同952份,完成營業額143.9億美元,占總額近「半壁江山」。顯然,中國資本大量湧入「一帶一路」沿線,為推動人民幣在當地市場使用提供了難得的契機。目前,人民幣主要用於基建項目貸款以及清算、結算等服務。預計隨著沿線經濟增長及財富積累,各類機構、企業和個人持有多元化人民幣資產並進行人民幣資產管理的需求將陸續湧現,對人民幣的需求將轉向離岸市場拆借、離岸債券、匯兌交易和理財產品與套保工具衍生品等財資業務。

推動人民幣在「一帶一路」沿線使用,亦應探討建設能源金融市場體系的可能性,以實現能源產業和金融行業的融合來應對國際能源市場價格大幅度波動的挑戰,提高能源安全,幷尋找機會發展石油人民幣,擴大人民幣在石油定價及交易中的使用。

2017年的政府工作報告提出:「堅持匯率市場化改革,保持人民幣在全球貨幣體系中的穩定地位」。顯然,人民幣國際化的最終目標是為解決現行美元主導的國際貨幣體系制度性缺陷提供新的公共產品和解決方案,隨著中國與全球金融體系融合的加深,中國需要在維護和保持全球金融穩定方面承擔更多的國際責任。

隨著人民幣加入SDR貨幣籃子後的制度性紅利逐漸釋放,人民幣市場深度和廣度不斷擴大,各國央行和主權機構增持人民幣資產的意願將有所增強。人民幣成為「一帶一路」區域關鍵貨幣將有助於其在全球金融治理中發揮更為積極的作用。

 

鄂志寰, 中銀香港首席經濟學家

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內容摘要 2017年,粵港澳大灣區(大灣區)首次被納入《政府工作報告》,提倡推動內地與港澳深化合作,研究制定大灣區城市群發展規劃,發揮港澳獨特優勢,提升在國家經濟發展和對外開放中的地位與功能。自此,大灣區建設正式成為國家級發展戰略。隨著粵港澳的規劃即將出台,大灣區城市群在亞洲地區的角色及功能受到廣泛關注,特別在中國與東盟經貿關係愈見重要的背景下,粵港澳城市群有望透過大灣區建設與東盟十國加強經濟合作,成為亞洲區內兩大增長引擎。   粵港澳大灣區與東盟的經濟概況 從宏觀數據分析,粵港澳大灣區與東盟兩大區域經濟各有不同特色,顯示雙方有廣闊的空間發揮互補優勢。 首先,東盟有龐大的市場規模。2016年,十個成員國GDP總量達到2.56萬億美元,是繼美國、中國、歐盟及日本後的全球第五�

With work beginning on the Bangkok-Nong Khai link, rapid pan-Asian rail connectivity looks set to become a reality.

Photo: Thailand on track: Can high-speed rail links deliver a tourism and economic dividend?
Thailand on track: Can high-speed rail links deliver a tourism and economic dividend?
Photo: Thailand on track: Can high-speed rail links deliver a tourism and economic dividend?
Thailand on track: Can high-speed rail links deliver a tourism and economic dividend?

A key element of the High Speed Rail (HSR) connectivity plan for Asia, an integral part of China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), was given the go-ahead early last month. This saw the Thai government formally authorise work to begin on phase one of the Bangkok-Nong Khai HSR project, an essential link in the overall network.

Back in 2016, work began on the much-delayed Kunming-Laos link, another key component of the wider network. More recently, Indonesia approved the Jakarta-Bandung HSR route. Meanwhile, the tender process for the 90-minute Singapore-Kuala Lumpur railway is set to commence in Singapore and Malaysia, with the project scheduled for completion by 2026.

In the case of the Bangkok-Nong Khai HSR link, this four-year, THB179 billion (US$5.3 billion) project will result in the creation of a 253km rail connection between Bangkok and Nakhon Ratchasima, the Thai city seen as the gateway to neighbouring Laos. In total, six stations will be constructed along the route – Bang Sue, Don Mueang, Ayutthaya, Saraburi, Pak Chong and Nakhon Ratchasima.

The line actually forms the first part of a three-stage project that will ultimately connect with Nong Khai and then Kaeng Khoi (Sara Buri)-Map Ta Phut (Rayong). At present, no schedule has been agreed for the completion of the final two phases.

Although phase one is primarily being financed from within Thailand, the Thai government is reportedly in negotiations with the Export-Import Bank of China with regard to financing the required high-speed rolling stock. The overall plan is for Thai firms to build the track, while China will supply the trains and signal systems, and provide technical support.

The long-term objective is to establish a trans-Asia high-speed rail link capable of delivering a journey time of just four hours between Bangkok and Vientiane, the Lao capital. Beyond Laos, the proposed link would then extend to Kunming in southwest China, feeding into the mainland's rapidly expanding inter-city HSR network, which had about 22,000km of track as of the end of 2016. Heading south from Bangkok, the high-speed link would also significantly reduce journey times to Kuala Lumpur and Singapore.

Although the negotiations and many of the approval processes have proved to be slow and have faced frequent delays, Thailand remains committed to the proposed high-speed link, seeing it as set to play a key role in its own future economic growth. In the first quarter of 2017, boosted by recovering export levels, the Thai economy expanded by 3.3%, its fastest quarterly growth for four years. Despite this recent rally, the country's economic growth has been trailing its regional peers since 2014.

In 2016, the Thai economy grew 3.2%, with the Asian Development Bank predicting a 3.5% increase for 2017, rising to 3.6% in 2018. Although representing something of an uptick, these figures are still below the projected ASEAN average and remain significantly down on the 7.2% growth the country recorded back in 2012.

The advantages offered by the country's geographic location are central to its hopes of a sustained economic upturn. Set at the heart of continental Southeast Asia, Thailand shares borders with Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia and Malaysia, with the latter sharing a land border with Singapore, home to the world's second-busiest port. With a population of about 69 million and highly developed logistics and finance resources, Thailand is also seen as perfectly positioned to capitalise on the benefits of the free movement of people, products and capital guaranteed under the constitution of the ASEAN Economic Community.

It is also hoped that enhanced rail connectivity will boost tourism, which currently accounts for about 11% of Thai GDP. The country has already committed itself to becoming “the tourism hub of Southeast Asia” and has made considerable progress in terms of delivering on that. In 2016, for instance, it welcomed 32.6 million visitors, generating THB1.64 trillion in revenue. It is now looking to attract ever-increasing numbers of high-spending visitors from China, India and from throughout the ASEAN bloc.

At present, the Tourism Authority of Thailand is strongly promoting the country as a holiday destination in many of the mainland's second-tier and third-tier cities, having identified them as China's primary source of next generation tourists. Last year, about 8.8 million Chinese tourists visited Thailand, while the ASEAN bloc accounted for further 8.6 million visitors. Although the total number of tourists was up for the first half of 2017 year-on-year, the level of mainland visitors dropped by 3.83%.

This was largely seen as the consequence of a crackdown on so-called 'zero-dollar' trips – cheap packages offered to Chinese group travellers who are then pressured into spending at high-priced shopping and dining outlets by commission-only tour agents. Despite the disappointing figures, however, China remains – by a considerable margin – Thailand's number-one tourism source, followed by Malaysia, South Korea and Laos.

With the country's commitment to the pan-Asian HSR project now confirmed, its position as the connective hub for Southeast Asia's emerging high-speed rail links brings the transformation of rail transport across the continent one step closer. That promises to be good news for the wider tourist industry, as well as for exporters and importers across the region.

Geoff de Freitas, Special Correspondent, Bangkok

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